Wednesday, June 25, 2008

The Dollar may decline further this week

The dollar fell broadly on Friday as fears of further write-downs in the U.S. financial sector raised speculation the Federal Reserve would not signal a shift toward tighter monetary policy when it meets next week. Rising oil prices, more inflation-busting talk from a European Central Bank official and an unexpected surge in German producer prices in May to a near two-year high added to selling pressures on the greenback. These developments were seen as confirmation that the European Central Bank would deliver an interest rate hike next month, flagged at the bank's last policy meeting. A hike would further enhance the euro's yield appeal against the dollar.
The dollar may fall to 105.72 yen, based on charts traders use to predict price movements, according to Tomoko Fujii, head of economics and strategy for Japan at Bank of America Corp. The currency has stayed below its 200-day moving average after rising above it from June 13 to June 18 for the first time since August, signaling further losses. The dollar may now fall to the next level of so-called support around 105.72 yen, where an ascending trend-line, connecting a low of 95.76 yen on March 17 and a low of 102.74 on May 22, extends to, she said.
The pound snapped a three-day gain against the dollar after a report showed U.K. house prices fell in June by the most this year. The pound also dropped against 12 of the 16 most-active currencies as traders reduced bets the Bank of England will raise interest rates to curb inflation. The U.K. currency declined against the euro last week after central bank Deputy Governor John Gieve said property values ``have further to fall'' and the ``shock to expectations appears to be having a wider impact on confidence.'' The U.K. currency fell to $1.9643 by 9:19 a.m. in London, from $1.9761 on June 20. It was little changed at 78.94 pence per euro, after earlier dropping to 79.10 pence.

Monday, June 23, 2008

Johan Ditz Lemche

Johan Ditz Lemche - Market Strategist, Saxo Bank

Johan Lemche focuses primarily on Forex trading using both fundamental and technical analysis to back up the strategies. He is also active in developing and maintaining models both for intra-day trading and for the longer term, the latter by decomposing the macroeconomic structure. Mr Lemche is a native Danish speaker and is fluent in English.

Christian Svendsen

Christian Svendsen - Market Strategist, Saxo Bank


Christian Svendsen is primarily focused on equities traded on the major indices in Europe, US and Asia. Mr Svendsen has a background with financial analysis and works with fundamental techniques when gauging possible equity positions. He is anchor person on Saxo Bank's technical mean reversion model, a model that gives buy signals on the major equity indices. Mr Svendsen is a native Danish speaker and is fluent in English.

John J. Hardy

John J. HardyAsset Management, Saxo Bank


John Hardy publishes daily comments on the Forex market. Mr Hardy's analysis attempts to overlay short term technical developments and fundamental event risks with longer term themes and trends in the G-10 currencies. Mr Hardy considers inter-market correlations as paramount in understanding moves in the Forex space, so the analysis draws on a number of models based on other markets and gauges their correlation with Forex markets in an attempt to detect inefficiencies that may provide trading opportunities.

David Karsbøl


David Karsbøl - Manager/Market Strategist, Saxo Bank

David Karsbøl holds a Master of Science degree (Economics) from the University of Copenhagen and has previously been employed as an insurance analyst. Mr Karsbøl works with fundamental analysis and research and contributes to Saxo Bank's strategy products. He also develops and maintains macroeconomic models and a number of trading models, which are designed to profit from co-variations between the Forex and fixed income markets. Mr Karsbøl is regularly appears on major financial news networks and comments several days a week on the financial markets via Saxo Bank's live Market Call webcast. He is a native Danish speaker and is fluent in English.